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别痴心妄想了:中国已统一无望 将彻底失去台湾

论坛出处:  作者:  时间2014-04-14 07:26:10

马英九通过艰难的一课汲取到了一个宝贵的经验教训,那就是:如果你想向中国尽量靠拢,那么最好尽量别那么中国化。



  Ma should shelve the China deal for now。 His argument that backing out would undermine Taiwan's economy and international credibility pales in comparison to the need to preserve the island's hard-won democracy。 Yes, China is Taiwan's largest trading partner and Ma's economy has been hit hard by the demise of the personal computer, on which the island largely bet its future。 Clearly, alienating Beijing carries costs。

  马英九现在应该暂缓与中国的交易。他说现在退出服贸协议的签订会破坏台湾的经济,并使得来之不易的台湾的民主社会的形象大打折扣。是的,中国的确是台湾最大的贸易伙伴,一旦离开北京的支持,马英九的经济政策将会受到毁灭性的打击,特别是台湾的个人电脑行业。显然,疏远北京的成本非常沉重。

  But so does a policy that depends on China's goodwill。 Taiwan's sophisticated economy has more in common with those of the U。S。 and Japan than China, and it should ink more free-trade pacts with developed nations, like the one recently signed with New Zealand。 Its human capital, infrastructure and financial resources give Taiwan the leverage to move up the value-added ladder in the search for the next game-changing technology。 That's the only way Taiwan is going to maintain or improve its per capita income of about $39,000 -- not by selling TVs and PCs to Chinese。

  但马英九的经济政策在很大程度上取决于北京的善意。台湾经济的多样性更类似于日本和美国,台湾经济的多样性甚至可以秒掉中国不是问题。因此 ,台湾应该与发达国家签订更多的免税贸易协定而不是跟比它差的中国,比如最近签署的与新西兰的经济合作协定。能为台湾经济实现下一次飞跃发展的是其人力资源资本、基础设施和金融资源等。这也是台湾是要维持或提高人均收入约39000美元的唯一途径,而不是通过出售电视和电脑到中国来实现。


别痴心妄想了:中国已统一无望 将彻底失去台湾

  Ma's bigger misstep was assuming his people would go along quietly with his Politburo-esque maneuver。 Young Taiwanese appear to be mulling a very different future, one that shares the values espoused by the opposition Democratic Progressive Party。 Are they proud of their Chinese heritage? Sure。 But that doesn't mean they're prepared to give up freedoms and rights that still remain a dream on the mainland。

  马英九最大的失误在于他以为在他领导之下的台湾人民都会默默的跟随着他一路前行而不是默默地跟随着他一路诘问“你想怎样”?(名词科普:Politburo-esque = C。P。C。中央政治局)年轻的台湾学子们似乎正在考虑一个非常不同的未来,一个由民进党为他们描绘的值得他们拥护的未来。他们会为自己的中国血统而自豪吗?当然会。但这并不意味着他们准备放弃的自由和权利,随着匪区的军民同胞们同做一个“中国梦”。

  The Communist Party's subjugation of its own citizens and overreach in Hong Kong is feeding the movement。 Young Taiwanese have watched as China has backtracked on pledges to allow Hong Kongers to elect their own leaders。 Beijing's attempts to impose vaguely written anti-sedition laws and patriotic education, and to clamp down on the city's freewheeling press, are equally unnerving。 China should be learning from Hong Kong's civil liberties and first-world financial system, not the other way around。

  在香港,中国公民的过度扩张已经使C。P。C。彻底地征服了这个地方。年轻的台湾人眼睁睁看着C。P。C。收回了港人治港的承诺,不让香港人选择自己的领导人。北京正戴着政治的白手套准备通过《反煽动叛乱法》【注】、在香港推行爱国主义教育、取缔香港自由媒体等,所有这些,看起来同样令人不安。中国应该是从香港学习公民自由和处在世界顶端的金融体系而不是试着去统治它。


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