马英九通过艰难的一课汲取到了一个宝贵的经验教训,那就是:如果你想向中国尽量靠拢,那么最好尽量别那么中国化。
“只要中国想,随时可以拿回台湾”?
到底什么意思?通过武力收回吗?也许可以,但是有能力去做的一件事并不等于也同样有能力去承担做了这件事的成本和后果。别忘了美国有能力核平任何一个和它作对的国家,问题只是在于这样做的成本会远远大于获得的成本。至于台湾问题,如果中国执意要收回台湾,美国可能就会打击中国。也就是说美国可以用核弹来解决台湾问题,这样一来中国“收回”台湾的成本将大于获得的成本。
也就是说这样的话“收回”台湾就会变成得不偿失的胜利。我相信中国知道这一点,台湾也知道。
幸运的是,大多数的地缘政治纠纷解决的手段和方法都不是以简单的“能力”来评估的。
Peter Lim > kart_125cc ? a day ago
Why would USA nuke China because they took their island back? Keep wishing & dreaming, but don't wake up, cause it's not going to happen。 You meant we American are that stupid。。。。。。。。 You better think again。。。。。my 2cents。。
为什么美国人要用核武器打击中国以阻止中国人收回他们自己的岛屿?继续做你的青天白日梦吧。我希望你永远活在梦里别醒过来,因为这是根本不可能发生的事情。你是把我们美国人都想成蠢货了吗。。。再好好想想。。。拿好我的5毛闪人。。。
deadbeef > kart_125cc ? a day ago
A Chinese invasion is probably not worth the cost - but they have the conditions listed somewhere to launch that, that is why Taiwanese couldn't do anything by their real meaning。 They just vent it using something else, like a trade pact。
中国人直接入侵台湾可能是划不来的,因此他们就用一个类似付贸协定的东西来间接对台湾侵略。
deadbeef > kart_125cc ? a day ago
the US could just nuke China
====
You think Chinese have no nukes?
“美国可以用核弹来解决台湾问题”
…… ……
你以为中国没有核弹吗?
kart_125cc > deadbeef ? a day ago
"You think Chinese have no nukes?"
ure。 Did I not say there would be costs? Still doesn't mean we couldn't nuke them if we want to - the ability exists。
That was my point - having an ability to do a thing is not the same thing as having a will to do it in the face of a cost/benefit analysis。 All the ability in the world amounts to nothing without a will to actually use that ability。 As long as China is unwilling to suffer the costs attendant with "taking back" Taiwan, an ability to do so amounts to nothing。
Maybe you should pay more attention to reading comprehension than letting narratives do it for you。
“你以为中国没有核弹吗?”
当然有,我没说没有,我只是说了会有不值当的成本。但这并不意味着我们不会用核弹来显示我们的存在。
我说的重点是……有能力去做的一件事并不等于也同样有能力去承担做了这件事的成本和后果……
也许你应该好好看评论再说话。
deadbeef > kart_125cc ? a day ago
Chinese do list the conditions for a war, they openly say that。
中国人曾公开表态说他们“……不放弃使用武力手段收复台湾”。